Hey @glennseer, I totally agree. The level looked interesting for a reversal, but it also seemed fairly risky to go after a bounce.
As for the winning trade ratio, you’re exactly right…in fact, we pulled the stats on our trades and posted those here: https://crypto-ml.com/blog/bitcoin-trading-with-machine-learning-anomaly-detection/#Wins_and_losses
And we’re actually witnessing one of the less-obvious value points of the ML right now–with the positions closed, we’re avoiding this drop. Missing these bigger drops makes a big difference over time.