Hi, thanks for the question.
We used to have short-selling signals, but we currently do long trades only. Our methodology has refined quite a bit over time so you should see any losing periods be managed much more tightly.
In terms of how the strategy plays out over time:
– During bull runs, we want to capture most of the gain.
– During bear runs, we want to avoid most of the loss.
So there still will be losing times, but over a few cycles, we come out as the winner.
Practically speaking, when our first public trade was issued, BTC was at $8,200. It has gone way up and way down since then. It has crossed $8,200 multiple times.
In fact, about 1.5 years later, it landed back at $8,200. For buy-and-hold folks, they had a 0% gain over that 1.5 years. But our system was grabbing most of the run ups and avoiding most of the drops. That resulted in us having realized gains.
We then hit $8,200 again in April of this year (over 2 years after the initial trade). At that point, we’re up 235% while buy-and-hold is again flat.
Hopefully that makes sense. Great question!